ISSN 2079-3537      

Scientific Visualization
Issue Year: 2016
Quarter: 1
Volume: 8
Number: 1
Pages: 108 - 119
Authors: N.V. Kulikova (Russian Federation), V.I. Tischenko (Russian Federation)
Address: N.V. Kulikova
Obninsk Institute for Nuclear Power Engineering, Russian Federation

V.I. Tischenko
Obninsk Institute for Nuclear Power Engineering, Russian Federation
Abstract: Analyzed are the results obtained by a computer technology which allows one to simulate the probabilistic disintegration of a celestial object (in this context comet 17P/Holmes) and further evolutionary movement of the comet itself as well as the expected formed swarm of meteoroids. The calculation period covers the whole known comet lifecycle from its first observation until now and in three centuries perspective. The ejection rate values vary within the observational data. Strange nesses appeared in the orbital comet movement after its perihelion passage and noted by many observers in 2014 are easily explained by a major ejection of matter from the cometary nucleus at the rates above 100 m/s in its movement to Saturn and the following impact of this process on a short-term change in movement regularity with its future recovery. Long-range simulation and visualization results show that such phenomena recur in a certain quantity of returns and are associated with the well-defined mutual spatial arrangement of three bodies: Saturn - comet Holmes - Jupiter. Visualization of calculated data allows performing a prognostic analysis of next returns of the object studied.
Language: Russian

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